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Should Ethiopia worry about Egyptian and Sudanese military movements?

Tigrai Online Oct. 28, 2012

There are some intelligence reports that suggest Egypt is moving warplanes to sudan after the Isreali jet fighters attacked a Sudanese military factory outside the capital Khartoum.

The Russian Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces, General Nikolai Makarov reported to President Putin today warning that Egyptian Air Force (EAF) bombers and fighter jets have been ordered to deploy to their secret airbase near Kursi in the west of Sudan's Darfur region after the shocking Israeli Air Force (IAF) raid on the Yarmouk military factory in Khartoum.

Yarmouk military factory in Khartoum burning
The Yarmouk military factory in Khartoum which was bombed by unknown fighter jets last week is seen burning. Sudan blems Isreal.

The Yarmouk Complex of military plants near Khartoum, which was bombed few minutes after midnight Wednesday, Oct. 24, 2012 by four fighter-bombers, recently went into manufacturing Iranian ballistic surface-to-surface Shehab missiles under license from Tehran, debkafile's military and intelligence sources disclose.

Sudanese government spokesman Ahmed Bilal Osman said Wednesday that the arms factory in Khartoum bombarded Tuesday was a "traditional factory producing traditional weapons," accusing Israel of launching the air strike to "cripple the capabilities of Sudan."

"Israel is behind the attack against Al-Yarmouk Arms Factory Complex yesterday evening," said Bilal, also the Sudanese information minister, said Wednesday at a press conference here.

He further announced that two people were killed and another injured in the air strike."The factory, which was bombarded by four Israeli planes, is a traditional factory, producing traditional weapons," said Bilal, adding that "apparently the objective behind the Israeli air strike against Al-Yarmouk complex was to cripple the capabilities of the Sudanese government, but we will press ahead resolutely to achieve aspirations of our people."

General Makarov further states in his report that the “most likely” intended target of the EAF is US ally Ethiopia whom the Egyptians have already warned they were prepared to strike in order to protect their stake in the Nile River.

Internal emails secretly obtained by “unknown parties” from the US private-security firm Stratfor back up General Makarov’s assessment, and as we can, in part, read:

Ethiopia became an even bigger threat a month after the Egyptian Revolution toppled President Hosni Mubarak in February 2011 when they announced new details about the construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.

In April of this year Bradley Hope of the National reported that construction had begun and that the massive project “could destabilize Egypt in a way that would make the last year of political upheaval look minuscule.”

“It would lead to political, economic and social instability,” Mohamed Nasr El Din Allam, Egypt's minister of water and irrigation until early last year, told Hope. “Millions of people would go hungry. There would be water shortages everywhere. It's huge.”

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